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India VIX Falls 7.41% to 14.04 as IT Stocks Rally and Crude Oil Eases

Authored By HDFC SKY | Published at: Oct 13, 2026 04:51 PM IST

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India VIX Falls 7.41% to 14.04 as IT Stocks Rally and Crude Oil Eases

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Mumbai, 13 October 2026: India VIX declined 1.13 points, or 7.41%, to 14.04 on Tuesday, October 13, as domestic equity benchmarks recovered and technology stocks advanced following quarterly results from HCL Technologies (HCLTech). The volatility index recorded an intraday high of 15.35 and a low of 13.94, against an opening level of 15.25. The previous close was 15.25, while the 52-week range stood between 8.72 and 28.90. The session’s movement came amid continued pressure on Asian technology shares, elevated crude oil prices, currency-related developments and uncertainty surrounding global inflation.

India VIX Falls 7.41% to 14.04 as Domestic Markets Recover

India VIX closed at 14.04, down 7.41% on October 13. The index measures the market’s expectations of near-term volatility in the Nifty 50, based on Nifty options prices. Its decline indicates that the volatility implied by these options decreased during the session.

The index opened at 15.25, matching its previous close, before reaching a high of 15.35 and a low of 13.94. The reported closing level was close to the day’s lower range, although the supplied live snapshot and historical figures differ slightly in their intraday readings.

The decline occurred as Indian benchmark indices recovered from Monday’s losses. At around 10:16 am IST, the Nifty 50 had gained approximately 0.9% to 22,562.1, while the Sensex advanced 0.9% to 72,564.62. The recovery in major indices provided a counterpoint to weakness across several Asian markets.

HCLTech Results Lift IT Stocks as Nifty IT Gains 3.4%

Technology stocks were among the domestic market’s principal sources of strength on October 13. HCLTech shares rose approximately 5.4% in early trading following the company’s quarterly results, while Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) also advanced around 5.4%. The Nifty IT index gained 3.4%.

HCLTech’s quarterly performance and improved profitability supported activity in the technology sector. The gains also came as investors reassessed technology shares that had experienced considerable weakness earlier in the year.

The advance in IT stocks coincided with the recovery in the broader equity market. As large technology companies contributed to the improvement in benchmark performance, the domestic market’s movement differed from the losses recorded in several international technology markets.

The strength in IT shares was one of the key developments accompanying the decline in India VIX. However, the available session data do not quantify the individual contribution of technology stocks to the index’s 7.41% fall.

Rupee Recovery and RBI Measures Ease Currency Pressure

The Indian rupee extended its recovery to approximately ₹95.25 per US dollar in early trading on October 13, following measures announced by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to ease pressure on the currency.

The currency movement was relevant to domestic market conditions because exchange-rate fluctuations affect imported energy costs, inflation and the broader external-sector outlook. The rupee’s recovery coincided with the rise in benchmark indices and the decline in India VIX.

However, the RBI measures had been announced before Tuesday’s session. Their continued influence formed part of the day’s market context rather than representing a new policy announcement on October 13.

Retail inflation also remained a significant economic consideration. India’s September retail inflation accelerated to 5.54%, raising questions about the interest-rate outlook and the potential effect of energy costs on the economy. The available information does not establish that this inflation figure was first announced on October 13.

Asian Technology Sell-Off Deepens as Semiconductor Shares Decline

International markets presented a contrasting picture on Tuesday, with Asian technology shares experiencing substantial losses amid concerns about competition in artificial intelligence semiconductors.

South Korea’s KOSPI fell more than 5% in reported global-market trading. Samsung Electronics declined 7.4%, while SK Hynix fell 10%. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) lost 1.8%, while technology-sensitive Japanese shares also faced pressure.

The developments followed reports concerning technological advances by Chinese memory-chip manufacturer ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). The reports renewed attention to competition in the semiconductor industry and its implications for companies associated with the artificial intelligence investment boom.

Despite these international losses, Indian benchmark indices recovered during the session. The divergence between Asian technology markets and domestic equities formed an important part of the day’s market conditions, as India VIX declined rather than rising alongside overseas volatility.

Brent Crude Falls 1.7% But Remains Above $100

Brent crude futures declined approximately 1.7% to $104.78 per barrel, offering some relief from energy-price pressures. Nevertheless, crude remained above $100 per barrel, keeping oil supply, inflation and currency risks relevant to India’s economic outlook.

Lower crude prices can ease pressure on India’s import bill and imported inflation. However, the absolute price level remained elevated, while uncertainty surrounding energy supplies continued to feature in international market developments.

Geopolitical concerns included attacks on energy targets in Ukraine, uncertainty surrounding the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and regional security developments involving Saudi Arabia. These issues remained relevant because disruptions to energy infrastructure or transport routes can affect global oil supplies and prices.

The available reports do not establish that a specific new geopolitical announcement during Indian trading hours directly caused the decline in India VIX.

US Treasury Yields and Dollar Ease Amid Inflation Uncertainty

The US dollar weakened, while the US 10-year Treasury yield declined to approximately 5.193%, according to the supplied global-market report. These movements came amid continuing concerns about borrowing costs, inflation and government debt.

However, Treasury yields remained elevated, and uncertainty persisted over the direction of US monetary policy. Market participants were also monitoring upcoming US inflation data scheduled for Wednesday and quarterly earnings from major US banks.

US Nasdaq futures fell approximately 0.5% as technology shares remained under pressure. The weakness reflected the unsettled international backdrop, even as Indian equities advanced.

The US inflation release and the bank earnings scheduled for later in the day were not completed developments during the Indian trading session. Their expected release was part of the external economic context, rather than evidence of results already available to domestic markets.

India VIX October History Shows Mixed Volatility Patterns

India VIX’s historical seasonality data show that the index recorded positive returns in 9 out of 18 years during October. The month has experienced both substantial increases and decreases in volatility.

The maximum positive October change was 26.73% in 2020, while the maximum negative change was -30.99% in 2013. The average positive change was 11.18%, compared with an average negative change of -13.66%. The overall average change for October was -1.24%.

The index’s year-to-date return was reported at 48.10%. Its 52-week high stood at 28.90, and its 52-week low was 8.72. These figures provide historical context for the October 13 closing level of 14.04.

Technical readings showed a neutral trend. The classic pivot point was 14.64, with resistance levels at 16.15, 17.04 and 18.55, and support levels at 13.75, 12.24 and 11.35. These levels were calculated using the previous trading day’s price range.

India VIX closed at 14.04, down 7.41%, on October 13, 2026. The session coincided with gains in Indian benchmark indices, a 3.4% rise in the Nifty IT index, a recovery in the rupee and lower Brent crude prices. International developments included semiconductor-sector losses, elevated energy prices and continuing inflation uncertainty. The index’s technical rating remained neutral.

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